You're absolutely right... a lot of this is uncharted territory, and trying to forecast accurately in such volatile conditions is tricky at best. That said, there are some market insights available that can help at least frame expectations, especially when it comes to fertilizer trends like nitrogen.
For example, if you're interested in tracking how nitrogen is moving globally - fr... https://www.thecombineforum.com/threads/trump-tarrif-thread.355538/?post_id=3510570&nested_view=1&sortby=oldest#post-3510570